The RBI should look beyond short term | Business Line
The RBI should look beyond short term | Business Line
My response recorded on March 21, 2014:
My response recorded on March 21, 2014:
Acknowledging the possible
disproportionate burden on the monetary policy the ‘election season’ may cast,
the author has tried to lighten the task of Dr Raghuram Rajan in putting
together his thoughts on the Monetary Policy statement the RBI governor is
expected to announce on April 1, 2014. Based on the rich experience of RBI
during the past 50 years, Tarapore’s advice to RBI is to conduct its monetary
policy unfettered by any thought about the polls.
The need for policy continuity is
emphasised by endorsing the stress on CPI(and not WPI), suggesting maintenance
of nominal dollar-rupee exchange rate at $1=Rs61-63 by appropriate measures, calling
for caution on tinkering with policy rates in the context of recent positive
signals and a strong warning against RBI being party, directly or indirectly to
window dressing of banks’ balance sheets. Drawing attention to Dr Rajan’s own
observation about the need to develop a consensus between GOI and the RBI on
the new policy framework, the article suggests an approach to achieve this. And
that approach is, use the April 1 policy statement to bring clarity in the
public mind about the central bank’s expectations from GOI by way of fiscal
policy support. RBI has already been giving signals to finance ministry that it
is not in public interest to interfere beyond tolerance limits in the
institutional autonomy within mandated contours.
M G Warrier, Thiruvananthapuram
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