World at crossroads: M K Narayanan
http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/The-world-at-a-crossroads/article17014166.ece
“India
and the neighbourhood
My VIEW:
I find it interesting to read assessments by veterans about what is in store for the world in the years ahead. Though I would prefer to remain an optimist, the observations about 'preparations for war' and 'rise in terrorism' makes me observe that 'people's participation in governance' need to improve. While the rich and the powerful who 'own' governments world over have vested interests in making 'tension perennial', PEOPLE are interested in peace, distributive justice, equity and universal welfare. If PEOPLE continue to be pedestrians in the 'act of governance', the destruction of civilization could be much faster than we imagine.
M G Warrier
I find it interesting to read assessments by veterans about what is in store for the world in the years ahead. Though I would prefer to remain an optimist, the observations about 'preparations for war' and 'rise in terrorism' makes me observe that 'people's participation in governance' need to improve. While the rich and the powerful who 'own' governments world over have vested interests in making 'tension perennial', PEOPLE are interested in peace, distributive justice, equity and universal welfare. If PEOPLE continue to be pedestrians in the 'act of governance', the destruction of civilization could be much faster than we imagine.
M G Warrier
Excerpts:
“India
and the neighbourhood
The Asian region
will see heightened tensions between China and India, China and Japan, and
India and Pakistan in 2017. The overall military power balance is unlikely to
shift decisively — Asia already has one of the largest concentrations of
military capabilities (China, India and Pakistan) with substantial presence of
the U.S. and Russian militaries. However, the accelerated pace of development
of China’s military in 2017, including its acquisition of new weapon systems,
will be of increasing concern to countries of East, Southeast and South Asia.
For India, a
deepening of the China-Pakistan military entente in 2017 will add a further
dimension to the overall threat from Pakistan. Relations with Islamabad remain
embittered, but in addition India may have to contend with a more aggressive
and determined Pakistan, feeling greatly buoyed by the progress achieved on the
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, and the new outreach to, and growing ties,
with Russia.
India’s position
in Afghanistan in 2017 may well see a downturn, with new equations emerging in
the region. With the U.S., China and Russia backing Pakistan’s moves for
‘flexible ties’ with Taliban — ignoring India’s objections — New Delhi’s
interests are set to suffer.
Meanwhile, both
Nepal and Sri Lanka could see a turbulent 2017. India’s ability to leverage
matters in both countries, however, remains strictly limited.
In short, as
2017 dawns, the world and India are at the crossroads.”
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